Skill beats luck — but only if the sample is long enough
Alon analyses simplified Hold'em models where stronger players win at rates that can't be explained by chance alone. The Central Limit Theorem then implies that over enough hands, results converge toward skill — not toward 50/50.
One bad session proves nothing. Track decisions, not outcomes, until the sample is large enough for skill to surface.
Source — Alon (2013). Poker, Chance and Skill.
